MLB teams · NL East · 2026 season
Philadelphia Phillies 2026: every game Leo analyzed
Leo analyzed 62 Philadelphia Phillies games with a final result between July 10 and October 1, 2026. The Phillies went 31-31 in them. Leo gave the Phillies better than an even chance in 29 of those games, and they won 18. When Leo had them below 50%, they won 13 of 33. Leo's average win chance for the Phillies was 48%. The side Leo favored won 38 of the 62 games where Leo favored a side. Of these, 1 was a postseason game (0-1).
Most used starters
Starts Leo analyzed (postseason included), the Phillies record in them, and Leo’s average win chance for the Phillies on those days.
| Starter | Starts | Team record | Leo’s avg chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 15 | 4-11 | 37% |
| Cristopher Sánchez | 12 | 9-3 | 56% |
| Andrew Painter | 11 | 5-6 | 33% |
| Zack Wheeler | 11 | 6-5 | 60% |
| Jesús Luzardo | 9 | 7-2 | 56% |
Every game
- Leo’s chance is Leo’s win chance for the Phillies, from its last read saved before first pitch.
- Leo favored is the team Leo gave the better chance to win.
- Phillies result is whether the Phillies won or lost.
- Leo’s read is Right when the team Leo favored won, and Wrong when it lost.
Newest first. Opponents link to the full game analysis where one exists.
| Date | Opponent | Leo’s chance (Phillies) | Leo favored | Phillies result | Leo’s read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 post | at Braves | 35% | Braves | Lost | Right |
| Sep 26 | vs Rays | 33% | Rays | Lost | Right |
| Sep 25 | vs Rays | 71% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 24 | vs Brewers | 32% | Brewers | Lost | Right |
| Sep 23 | vs Brewers | 28% | Brewers | Lost | Right |
| Sep 22 | vs Brewers | 72% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Sep 20 | at Mets | 67% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Sep 19 | at Mets | 29% | Mets | Lost | Right |
| Sep 18 | at Mets | 29% | Mets | Lost | Right |
| Sep 17 | at Mets | 32% | Mets | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 16 | at Nationals | 73% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Sep 13 | at Braves | 28% | Braves | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 12 | at Braves | 63% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 11 | at Braves | 27% | Braves | Lost | Right |
| Sep 9 | vs Astros | 68% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Sep 8 | vs Astros | 29% | Astros | Lost | Right |
| Sep 6 | vs Braves | 42% | Braves | Lost | Right |
| Sep 5 | vs Braves | 61% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Sep 4 | vs Braves | 44% | Braves | Lost | Right |
| Sep 2 | at Diamondbacks | 27% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Right |
| Sep 1 | at Diamondbacks | 51% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 31 | at Diamondbacks | 30% | Diamondbacks | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 30 | at Angels | 74% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 29 | at Angels | 73% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 28 | at Angels | 29% | Angels | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 26 | at Mariners | 58% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 25 | at Mariners | 39% | Mariners | Lost | Right |
| Aug 24 | at Mariners | 59% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 23 | vs Cardinals | 70% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 22 | vs Cardinals | 28% | Cardinals | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 21 | vs Cardinals | 71% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 19 | vs Marlins | 27% | Marlins | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 18 | vs Marlins | 74% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 17 | vs Marlins | 74% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 16 | at Twins | 28% | Twins | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 15 | at Twins | 53% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 13 | at Twins | 46% | Twins | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 12 | at Cardinals | 50.2% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 11 | at Cardinals | 53% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 10 | at Cardinals | 49% | Cardinals | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 9 | vs Blue Jays | 54% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 8 | vs Blue Jays | 52% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 7 | vs Blue Jays | 54% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 6 | vs Nationals | 57% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 5 | vs Nationals | 55% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 4 | vs Nationals | 55% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Aug 3 | vs Nationals | 37% | Nationals | No result | |
| Aug 2 | at Orioles | 41% | Orioles | No result | |
| Aug 1 | at Orioles | 12% | Orioles | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 31 | at Orioles | 33% | Orioles | Lost | Right |
| Jul 29 | at Marlins | 60% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Jul 28 | at Marlins | 46% | Marlins | Lost | Right |
| Jul 27 | at Marlins | 66% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Jul 26 | vs Yankees | 45% | Yankees | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 25 | vs Yankees | 39% | Yankees | Lost | Right |
| Jul 24 | vs Yankees | 43% | Yankees | Lost | Right |
| Jul 22 | vs Dodgers | 41% | Dodgers | Lost | Right |
| Jul 21 | vs Dodgers | 46% | Dodgers | Lost | Right |
| Jul 20 | vs Dodgers | 53% | Phillies | No result | |
| Jul 19 | vs Mets | 55% | Phillies | Lost | Wrong |
| Jul 18 | vs Mets | 63% | Phillies | Won | Right |
| Jul 16 | vs Mets | 48% | Mets | Lost | Right |
| Jul 12 | at Tigers | 37% | Tigers | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 11 | at Tigers | 32% | Tigers | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 10 | at Tigers | 30% | Tigers | Lost | Right |
| Jul 9 | at Reds | 61% | Phillies | No result | |
| Jul 7 | at Reds | 59% | Phillies | No result |
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The 2027 season starts March 25, 2027. Until then, see all 30 teams, every MLB game page and Leo’s NFL and NBA cards.