MLB teams · AL Central · 2026 season

Chicago White Sox 2026: every game Leo analyzed

Leo analyzed 70 Chicago White Sox games with a final result between July 10 and October 10, 2026. The White Sox went 37-33 in them. Leo gave the White Sox better than an even chance in 38 of those games, and they won 22. When Leo had them below 50%, they won 15 of 32. Leo's average win chance for the White Sox was 52%. The side Leo favored won 39 of the 70 games where Leo favored a side. Of these, 4 were postseason games (2-2).

37-33
White Sox record in games Leo analyzed
39-31
Leo’s reads on White Sox games (right‑wrong)
22-16
White Sox record when Leo favored them
52%
Leo’s average win chance for the White Sox

Most used starters

Starts Leo analyzed (postseason included), the White Sox record in them, and Leo’s average win chance for the White Sox on those days.

StarterStartsTeam recordLeo’s avg chance
Sean Burke149-562%
Anthony Kay149-548%
Davis Martin103-752%
Erick Fedde66-049%
Luis Castillo62-437%

Every game

Newest first. Opponents link to the full game analysis where one exists.

DateOpponentWhite Sox starterOpp. starterLeo’s chance (White Sox)Leo favoredWhite Sox resultLeo’s read
Oct 10 postat GuardiansSean BurkeGavin Williams43%GuardiansLostRight
Oct 8 postvs GuardiansHagen SmithParker Messick41%GuardiansLostRight
Oct 5 postat GuardiansAnthony KayGavin Williams29%GuardiansWonWrong
Sep 30 postat AstrosSean BurkeHunter Brown54%White SoxWonRight
Sep 27vs RockiesAnthony KayKyle Freeland71%White SoxWonRight
Sep 26vs RockiesDavis MartinJose Quintana73%White SoxLostWrong
Sep 25vs RockiesSean BurkeTomoyuki Sugano72%White SoxWonRight
Sep 23at RoyalsBryan HudsonSeth Lugo55%White SoxLostWrong
Sep 22at RoyalsAnthony KayDaniel Lynch IV59%White SoxWonRight
Sep 20vs TigersDavis MartinTroy Melton31%TigersWonWrong
Sep 19vs TigersSean BurkeJackson Jobe62%White SoxWonRight
Sep 18vs TigersDavid SandlinAndrew Sears53%White SoxLostWrong
Sep 17vs TigersErick FeddeFramber Valdez48%TigersWonWrong
Sep 14at GuardiansSean NewcombGavin Williams47%GuardiansWonWrong
Sep 13at CardinalsDavid SandlinMichael McGreevy28%CardinalsLostRight
Sep 12at CardinalsSean NewcombKyle Leahy66%White SoxWonRight
Sep 11at CardinalsAnthony KayMatthew Liberatore64%White SoxLostWrong
Sep 10vs PiratesHagen SmithJared Jones69%White SoxLostWrong
Sep 9vs PiratesDavis MartinLake Bachar31%PiratesLostRight
Sep 8vs PiratesSean BurkeBubba Chandler71%White SoxLostWrong
Sep 6vs TwinsBryan HudsonBailey Ober70%White SoxWonRight
Sep 5vs TwinsAnthony KayTaj Bradley43%TwinsLostRight
Sep 4vs TwinsErick FeddeZebby Matthews49%TwinsWonWrong
Sep 3at AstrosLuis CastilloHunter Brown31%AstrosLostRight
Sep 2at AstrosDavis MartinHayden Wesneski49%AstrosLostRight
Sep 1at AstrosSean BurkeRonel Blanco73%White SoxWonRight
Aug 31at AstrosAnthony KayPeter Lambert41%AstrosLostRight
Aug 30at TwinsJordan HicksZebby Matthews73%White SoxLostWrong
Aug 29at TwinsErick FeddeBailey Ober49%TwinsWonWrong
Aug 28at TwinsLuis CastilloDean Kremer46%TwinsWonWrong
Aug 26vs RangersSean BurkeMacKenzie Gore67%White SoxWonRight
Aug 25vs RangersAnthony KayJacob deGrom36%RangersWonWrong
Aug 24vs RangersJosé UrquidyKumar Rocker42%RangersLostRight
Aug 23vs MetsSean NewcombNolan McLean58%White SoxWonRight
Aug 22vs MetsLuis CastilloChristian Scott30%MetsLostRight
Aug 21vs MetsSean BurkeSean Manaea71%White SoxWonRight
Aug 20vs BravesAnthony KayGrant Holmes52%White SoxLostWrong
Aug 19at CubsSean NewcombClay Holmes28%CubsWonWrong
Aug 18at CubsBryan HudsonKevin Gausman37%CubsLostRight
Aug 17at CubsLuis CastilloShota Imanaga26%CubsLostRight
Aug 16at TigersSean BurkeDrew Anderson53%White SoxWonRight
Aug 15at TigersAnthony KayTroy Melton42%TigersWonWrong
Aug 14at TigersSean NewcombJackson Jobe42%TigersWonWrong
Aug 13vs RedsDavis MartinAndrew Abbott58%White SoxLostWrong
Aug 12vs RedsLuis CastilloRhett Lowder53%White SoxWonRight
Aug 11vs RedsSean BurkeNick Lodolo56%White SoxLostWrong
Aug 9vs GuardiansDavis MartinJoey Cantillo59%White SoxWonRight
Aug 8vs GuardiansAnthony KayGavin Williams54%White SoxWonRight
Aug 7vs GuardiansNoah SchultzParker Messick57%White SoxLostWrong
Aug 6at Red SoxLuis CastilloRanger Suarez39%Red SoxLostRight
Aug 5at Red SoxSean BurkeSonny Gray43%Red SoxLostRight
Aug 4at Red SoxDavis MartinPatrick Sandoval40%Red SoxLostRight
Aug 2at RaysAnthony KayGriffin Jax37%RaysWonWrong
Aug 1at RaysJordan HicksDrew Rasmussen54%White SoxLostWrong
Jul 31at RaysErick FeddeNick Martinez43%RaysWonWrong
Jul 30vs YankeesSean BurkeRyan Weathers55%White SoxWonRight
Jul 29vs YankeesDavis MartinCam Schlittler49%YankeesWonWrong
Jul 28vs YankeesAnthony KayGerrit Cole48%YankeesLostRight
Jul 27vs YankeesNoah SchultzMax Fried42%YankeesLostRight
Jul 26vs AstrosErick FeddeRonel Blanco50.2%White SoxWonRight
Jul 25vs AstrosSean BurkeHunter Brown65%White SoxLostWrong
Jul 24vs AstrosDavis MartinSpencer Arrighetti68%White SoxLostWrong
Jul 22at RangersAnthony KayTyler Alexander58%White SoxWonRight
Jul 21at RangersNoah SchultzKumar Rocker53%White SoxLostWrong
Jul 20at RangersErick FeddeJacob deGrom54%White SoxWonRight
Jul 19at Blue JaysSean BurkeTrey Yesavage59%White SoxNo result
Jul 18at Blue JaysDavis MartinShane Bieber62%White SoxLostWrong
Jul 17at Blue JaysAnthony KaySpencer Miles45%Blue JaysWonWrong
Jul 12vs AthleticsNoah SchultzJ.T. Ginn57%White SoxWonRight
Jul 11vs AthleticsBryan HudsonGage Jump74%White SoxWonRight
Jul 10vs AthleticsSean BurkeJacob Lopez78%White SoxWonRight
Jul 9vs Red SoxAnthony KayPatrick Sandoval43%Red SoxNo result
Jul 7vs Red SoxNoah SchultzPayton Tolle38%Red SoxNo result

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The 2027 season starts March 25, 2027. Until then, see all 30 teams, every MLB game page and Leo’s NFL and NBA cards.

For entertainment and informational purposes. Leo’s win chances are information, not picks, and no model can promise outcomes. 21+. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-MY-RESET.