NBA · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Xfinity Mobile Arena
Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. BOS at PHI.
Boston Celtics58%Leo win chance
Philadelphia 76ers42%Leo win chanceBoth have BOS winning: Leo by 2.5, DraftKings by 1.5. They are 1 pt apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: BOS 110, PHI 107 (total 217). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Why Leo has BOS by 2.5
- Team strength: BOS rates 4.7 pts better than PHI on results so far.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to PHI.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to PHI’s expected margin. Positive helps PHI, negative helps BOS.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -4.7 | PHI rated +0.9, BOS +5.8 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | 0.0 | PHI 2 days, BOS 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | 0.0 | Value of regulars on the injury report: PHI 0, BOS 0 |
| Leo’s margin | -2.9 | BOS by 2.9 expected |
Injury report
The injury report when Leo made its read. A player marked in Leo’s number is a regular whose value Leo has taken off his team: all of it when he is out, 40% of it when he is day to day, because Leo assumes about 4 in 10 day-to-day players end up sitting. Players without the mark play too little to move the number.
Nobody listed.
- Adem Bona Out Back Sprain · in Leo’s number, plays 14.2 min a game
- Dominick Barlow Out Back Fracture
- Ariel Hukporti Out Achilles Surgery
Form
8-2 this season · 115 scored, 104.3 allowed a game
- W 117-97 at MIL 11-08
- W 119-80 at CHA 11-06
- W 109-102 vs MIL 11-04
- L 93-109 at HOU 11-02
- W 108-97 at ORL 11-01
9-2 this season · 111 scored, 107.9 allowed a game
- W 127-121 at CHI 11-08
- L 95-119 at CLE 11-06
- W 112-106 at DET 11-04
- W 126-107 vs CHI 11-02
- W 109-104 at CHA 10-31
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 9 | 33.8 | 27.1 | 26.4 | 6 | 7.8 |
| Paul George | 9 | 30.1 | 20.4 | 19 | 5.2 | 4.1 |
| Derrick White | 10 | 29.8 | 12.9 | 14 | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| Payton Pritchard | 10 | 26.6 | 12.8 | 9 | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| Neemias Queta | 10 | 21.7 | 9.5 | 10 | 6.2 | 1.6 |
| Sam Hauser | 10 | 21 | 7.7 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 10 | 20.1 | 5.9 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| Mitchell Robinson | 9 | 18.7 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 11 | 36.5 | 26.9 | 25.4 | 3.7 | 5.5 |
| Jaylen Brown | 10 | 35.9 | 22.3 | 24 | 6.7 | 4 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 10 | 33.5 | 13.2 | 14.8 | 6.5 | 2.9 |
| LeBron James | 9 | 32.9 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 7.1 | 6.7 |
| Joel Embiid | 9 | 31.9 | 17.9 | 15 | 9.7 | 4.1 |
| Dean Wade | 9 | 24.8 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 11 | 22 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Anfernee Simons | 11 | 21.9 | 9 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Leo’s reads before every game day. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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