NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Xfinity Mobile Arena
Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. CHI at PHI.
Chicago Bulls23%Leo win chance
Philadelphia 76ers77%Leo win chanceBoth have PHI winning: Leo by 10.5, DraftKings by 11.5. They are 1 pt apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: CHI 111, PHI 121 (total 232). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
No pick: Leo has PHI 77%, but the price is -575, -230 or dearer.
Why Leo has PHI by 10.5
- Team strength: PHI rates 8.6 pts better than CHI on results so far.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to PHI.
What could still move it. Joel Embiid (PHI, day to day) is counted at 40%. If he sits, Leo's number moves 1.0 toward CHI; if he plays, 0.6 toward PHI. Jalen Smith (CHI, day to day) is counted at 40%. If he sits, Leo's number moves 0.8 toward PHI; if he plays, 0.5 toward CHI.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to PHI’s expected margin. Positive helps PHI, negative helps CHI.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | +8.6 | PHI rated +1.2, CHI -7.9 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | -0.1 | PHI 2 days, CHI 3 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -0.1 | Value of regulars on the injury report: PHI 2.9, CHI 2.3 |
| Leo’s margin | +10.1 | PHI by 10.1 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Jalen Smith Day to day Finger Sprain · counted, 24 min a game
- Tobe Awaka Day to day Ankle Sprain
- Nic Claxton Out Hamstring
- Dailyn Swain Day to day Back Soreness
- Joel Embiid Day to day Foot · counted, 35 min a game
- Dominick Barlow Out Back Fracture
- Ariel Hukporti Out Achilles Surgery
Form
1-5 this season · 113.5 scored, 129.3 allowed a game
- L 111-125 at BOS 10-30
- L 127-133 vs NY 10-28
- L 99-134 at BOS 10-26
- L 120-124 vs WSH 10-24
- W 132-125 at MIL 10-23
6-1 this season · 108.7 scored, 104.9 allowed a game
- W 109-104 at CHA 10-31
- W 98-93 vs NY 10-30
- W 114-109 at IND 10-28
- L 93-106 vs DET 10-25
- W 127-116 vs MIL 10-24
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 6 | 34 | 21.2 | 22.2 | 6.7 | 2.5 |
| Norman Powell | 6 | 30 | 20.7 | 21.8 | 2.7 | 2 |
| Josh Giddey | 6 | 26.5 | 8.5 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 7.5 |
| Matas Buzelis | 6 | 25.3 | 14.5 | 14 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| Jalen Smith Day to day | 6 | 24 | 12 | 11.4 | 8.8 | 1.7 |
| Leonard Miller | 6 | 18.8 | 8.5 | 9.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Tre Jones | 6 | 18 | 10.8 | 10.4 | 2.8 | 3 |
| Isaac Okoro | 6 | 17.8 | 5 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 7 | 37.7 | 29.6 | 29.4 | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Jaylen Brown | 6 | 36.7 | 19.8 | 20 | 6.2 | 4.2 |
| Joel Embiid Day to day | 5 | 35 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 9.4 | 5.2 |
| LeBron James | 5 | 33.4 | 16.4 | 16.4 | 7 | 7 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 6 | 33.3 | 11.3 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 2.7 |
| Dean Wade | 5 | 27.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3 | 2.6 |
| Anfernee Simons | 7 | 24.6 | 12 | 13.8 | 2 | 1.3 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 7 | 24.3 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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