Membership
Leo membership is built for people who want the card organized for them and in their inbox before the games: the NFL every week, and MLB through the World Series.
Football season
What members get in the NFL
- The NFL card by email before every game day, Thursday, Sunday and Monday: every game, each team’s win chance, Leo’s projected total and the most likely touchdown scorers.
- Leo’s read on every prop line in that email: QB passing, RB rushing and WR receiving yards, with Leo’s number, the line and its side, plus every touchdown chance of 25% or more. The free card carries the top two scorers per game only.
- The same public record. Every NFL number is frozen before kickoff and graded on Leo’s record, wins and losses alike.
Every NFL page on the site stays free: the weekly card, matchup pages, injury reports and the record. Membership adds the email delivery and the full prop reads. Leo shows its record and its sample sizes; it does not promise wins.
Leo Monthly
Leo is in its founding stretch: the model, the record, and the member format are being built in public. Founding members keep the $30/mo rate for as long as they stay subscribed, even after the price goes up.
- The NFL card by email before every game day, with Leo’s read on every QB, RB and WR prop line
- Daily MLB model picks delivered before first pitch, through the World Series
- Full analysis: team quality, form, pitching matchup, park/weather, and market edge
- Market movement notes when the current number materially changes from the posted number
- Value flags when the model clears the market's no-vig probability by 3+ points
- Complete transparency: every pick graded on the public Results page, wins and losses alike
- Cancel anytime
Secure payment via PayPal — cancel anytime from your PayPal account. 21+ only where legal. No model can promise outcomes — see disclaimer below.
What's actually live in Leo's Lab
Verified against the live site, not a wish list. Everything below is free to use right now — no account or payment required.
Daily Member Brief
One morning view of the card: official picks, value watch setups, Lab Rating, pitcher edges, bullpen flags, and pass reasons. Open it.
Lab Rating
One clean setup score (shown as X.X/10) combining model edge, starting pitcher edge, bullpen condition, and market confirmation. Shown on every preview, brief, and tool.
Pitcher & Offense Matchup Tools
Full starting-pitcher and lineup-form breakdowns for every game on the slate. Pitchers · Offense.
Bullpen Fatigue Index
Daily bullpen workload score for every team, with the reasoning behind the number. Open it.
Strikeout & Totals Projections
A projected strikeout number for every starter and a projected run total for every game, shown against the market's line with full reasoning — live, self-calibrating, and graded in public daily. Not yet promoted to the same strict "official pick" gate moneyline uses. Strikeouts · Totals.
Member-only access
Right now every Lab tool is open to everyone. Paywalling these tools behind membership is planned for later, once Leo has a larger public track record — current members will not lose access or pay more when that happens.
Retired: the earlier "Leo vs. Market" comparison tool has been replaced by direct strikeout and totals projections shown against live market lines.
What a member card looks like
Sample — illustrative example, not a live pick
Leo is in its founding stretch, so the member format is still being refined. This sample shows the kind of structured card a member receives on a pick day.
Member Card: Braves ML- Game
- Mets @ Braves
- Market
- Moneyline
- Pick
- Braves ML
- Current price used
- -126 to -131
- Confidence tier
- Standard
- Lab Rating
- 7.8 / 10
- Market no-vig probability
- 53.7% to 54.2%
- Leo projected probability
- 57.2%
- Raw edge
- +3.0% to +3.5%
Not every game gets a card like this. Many games are marked as passes when the model and market are too close. See real, dated examples on the Previews page.
Free vs. Member
| What you get | Free (site) | Member ($30/mo) |
|---|---|---|
| Public previews and archived results | ✓ | ✓ |
| Transparent grading — wins and losses stay visible | ✓ | ✓ |
| Daily Member Brief, Lab Rating, pitcher/offense/bullpen tools, strikeout & totals projections | ✓ | ✓ |
| NFL weekly card, matchup pages, injury reports and Leo’s record | ✓ | ✓ |
| NFL card by email before kickoff (top two touchdown scorers per game) | ✓ | ✓ |
| NFL email with Leo’s read on every prop line and every 25%+ touchdown chance | — | ✓ |
| Daily MLB picks delivered to your inbox before first pitch | — | ✓ |
| Market movement notes when prices materially change | — | ✓ |
| Monthly performance and market-movement recap | — | ✓ |
No paywall yet — every Lab tool is free on the public site while Leo builds its record and audience. Membership today is about delivery, market follow-through, and supporting the project directly.
Why $30/month
Discipline over volume
The model passes on games with no edge instead of forcing a pick. Trust is the product — see the pass rate alongside the win rate on Results.
Market follow-through
Members get notes when the current market number materially changes from the posted number, so stale context does not sit unchallenged.
Accountability
Every pick is graded publicly the next day. Market movement tracking will make the process even easier to evaluate over time.
Already a member?
If you subscribed but did not register a delivery email, add it here so your picks land in the right inbox.
Free NFL card
Every game and the two most likely touchdown scorers in each, free by email before kickoff on game days.