NBA · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET · United Center
Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. PHI at CHI.
Philadelphia 76ers74%Leo win chance
Chicago Bulls27%Leo win chanceBoth have PHI winning: Leo by 9, DraftKings by 9.5. They are 0.5 pts apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: PHI 121, CHI 112 (total 233). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
No pick: Leo has PHI 74%, but the price is -420, -230 or dearer.
Why Leo has PHI by 9
- Team strength: PHI rates 10.2 pts better than CHI on results so far.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to CHI.
- Injuries: CHI is missing more, 0.5 pts toward PHI.
What could still move it. Norman Powell (CHI, day to day) is counted at 40%. If he sits, Leo's number moves 0.9 toward PHI; if he plays, 0.6 toward CHI. Jalen Smith (CHI, day to day) is counted at 40%. If he sits, Leo's number moves 0.7 toward PHI; if he plays, 0.5 toward CHI. Joel Embiid (PHI, day to day) is counted at 40%. If he sits, Leo's number moves 0.9 toward CHI; if he plays, 0.6 toward PHI.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to CHI’s expected margin. Positive helps CHI, negative helps PHI.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -10.2 | CHI rated -9.6, PHI +1.2 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | +0.3 | CHI 4 days, PHI 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -0.5 | Value of regulars on the injury report: CHI 4.9, PHI 2.6 |
| Leo’s margin | -8.7 | PHI by 8.7 expected |
Injury report
The injury report when Leo made its read. A player marked in Leo’s number is a regular whose value Leo has taken off his team: all of it when he is out, 40% of it when he is day to day, because Leo assumes about 4 in 10 day-to-day players end up sitting. Players without the mark play too little to move the number.
- Joel Embiid Day to day Foot Plantar Fasciitis · in Leo’s number at 40%, plays 32.3 min a game
- Adem Bona Out Back Sprain · in Leo’s number, plays 14.2 min a game
- Dominick Barlow Out Back Fracture
- Ariel Hukporti Out Achilles Surgery
- Norman Powell Day to day Shoulder Inflammation · in Leo’s number at 40%, plays 28.9 min a game
- Tobe Awaka Day to day Knee Sprain
- Jalen Smith Day to day Finger Sprain · in Leo’s number at 40%, plays 22.4 min a game
- Nic Claxton Out Hamstring Strain
- Zach Collins Out Illness
Form
8-2 this season · 109.4 scored, 106.6 allowed a game
- L 95-119 at CLE 11-06
- W 112-106 at DET 11-04
- W 126-107 vs CHI 11-02
- W 109-104 at CHA 10-31
- W 98-93 vs NY 10-30
1-7 this season · 111.6 scored, 129.6 allowed a game
- L 105-135 at NY 11-04
- L 107-126 at PHI 11-02
- L 111-125 at BOS 10-30
- L 127-133 vs NY 10-28
- L 99-134 at BOS 10-26
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 10 | 36.6 | 26.9 | 25.4 | 3.7 | 5.3 |
| Jaylen Brown | 9 | 36 | 21.6 | 22.2 | 6.7 | 4 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 9 | 33.3 | 13.2 | 14.8 | 6.6 | 2.9 |
| LeBron James | 8 | 32.9 | 14.8 | 13.8 | 7.4 | 6.9 |
| Joel Embiid Day to day | 8 | 32.3 | 17.9 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 4 |
| Dean Wade | 8 | 25.6 | 3.6 | 3 | 3.4 | 2 |
| Anfernee Simons | 10 | 22.5 | 9.6 | 10.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 10 | 22.1 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 8 | 32.5 | 19.5 | 17.8 | 6.5 | 2.4 |
| Norman Powell Day to day | 8 | 28.9 | 19.3 | 19.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| Josh Giddey | 8 | 27.3 | 9.3 | 11.4 | 4.6 | 7.6 |
| Matas Buzelis | 8 | 25.1 | 12.9 | 11.6 | 4.4 | 2 |
| Jalen Smith Day to day | 8 | 22.4 | 11 | 9 | 7.8 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Williams | 1 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Tre Jones | 8 | 18.1 | 10.9 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Isaac Okoro | 8 | 17.9 | 5 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Leo’s reads before every game day. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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