NBA · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · Mortgage Matchup Center
LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. LAC at PHX.
LA Clippers57%Leo win chance
Phoenix Suns43%Leo win chanceProjected score: LAC 114, PHX 112 (total 226). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Why Leo has LAC by 2
- Back to back: PHX played last night, 2.0 pts toward LAC.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to PHX.
- Team strength: LAC rates 1.0 pts better than PHX on results so far.
- Injuries: PHX is missing more, 0.9 pts toward LAC.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to PHX’s expected margin. Positive helps PHX, negative helps LAC.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -1.0 | PHX rated -1.9, LAC -0.8 points against an average team |
| Back to back | -2.0 | PHX played last night |
| Rest | -0.1 | PHX 1 day, LAC 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -0.9 | Value of regulars on the injury report: PHX 4.2, LAC 0 |
| Leo’s margin | -2.4 | LAC by 2.4 expected |
Injury report
The injury report when Leo made its read. A player marked in Leo’s number is a regular whose value Leo has taken off his team: all of it when he is out, 40% of it when he is day to day, because Leo assumes about 4 in 10 day-to-day players end up sitting. Players without the mark play too little to move the number.
- Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out Foot Surgery
- Brandon Ingram Out Achilles Surgery
- Cam Christie Day to day Ankle
- Bradley Beal Out Knee Inflammation
- Jordan Miller Out Shoulder Surgery
- Jordan Goodwin Out Calf Not Specified · in Leo’s number, plays 18.8 min a game
- Mark Williams Out Shoulder Surgery
Form
2-7 this season · 112.4 scored, 116.4 allowed a game
- W 139-123 vs NO 11-08
- L 116-117 vs MIA 11-04
- L 118-125 vs TOR 11-02
- L 112-124 at GS 11-01
- L 101-127 at MIN 10-30
3-6 this season · 110.6 scored, 119 allowed a game
- L 96-122 vs SA 11-09
- W 102-99 vs HOU 11-07
- W 117-104 vs ORL 11-05
- L 119-132 vs POR 11-04
- L 113-116 at GS 11-02
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland | 9 | 33.6 | 21.2 | 21 | 1.4 | 7 |
| Rui Hachimura | 7 | 30.4 | 14.6 | 15.2 | 6 | 1.7 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 8 | 29.9 | 11.1 | 10.8 | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| Kris Dunn | 9 | 29.8 | 9.1 | 9.6 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Kobe Sanders | 9 | 24.1 | 9.9 | 12.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Brook Lopez | 9 | 23.9 | 14.2 | 14.4 | 5.3 | 1 |
| Keaton Wagler | 9 | 23.2 | 12.3 | 10.2 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Max Strus | 3 | 21.7 | 9 | 9 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 9 | 34.3 | 26 | 29 | 2.7 | 4.8 |
| Miles Bridges | 9 | 31.7 | 15.8 | 15.4 | 7.8 | 3.2 |
| Dillon Brooks | 9 | 30.7 | 15.7 | 15 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| Jalen Green | 9 | 28.6 | 11.7 | 12.2 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| Collin Gillespie | 9 | 24.4 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 4 |
| Oso Ighodaro | 7 | 21.1 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Khaman Maluach | 9 | 19.7 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 1.2 |
| Jordan Goodwin Out | 5 | 18.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
Leo’s reads before every game day. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
Keep reading
All NBA predictions for November 10 →Every game that night: Leo's win chance, spread, picks and leansTonight’s NBA predictions · Every NBA game · Leo’s NBA record · NBA injury tracker · NBA team stats · Free card by email