NBA · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Chase Center
LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. LAC at GS.
LA Clippers48%Leo win chance
Golden State Warriors52%Leo win chanceBoth have GS winning: Leo by 1, DraftKings by 1.5. They are 0.5 pts apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: LAC 111, GS 112 (total 223). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Final
LAC 112, GS 124
- Leo had GS to win: right
- Leo expected GS +0.8; it finished +12. Leo missed by 11.2, the DraftKings spread by 10.5.
Box score
ESPN box score, saved the night of the game. Players Leo counted as out or day to day are tagged with whether they played.
| LA Clippers | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland S | 33 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 6-6 | -17 |
| Rui Hachimura S | 30 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | -28 |
| Kobe Sanders | 30 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | -18 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. S | 28 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | -8 |
| Kris Dunn S | 27 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | -8 |
| Isaiah Jackson S | 22 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | -20 |
| Brook Lopez | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | +1 |
| Keaton Wagler | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | -6 |
| Baba Miller | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | +10 |
| Nick Martinelli | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | +10 |
| Jalen Pickett | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +10 |
| Cam Christie | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | +10 |
| Blake Wesley | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | +7 |
| Gradey Dick | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Team | 112 | |||||||
| Golden State Warriors | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski S | 37 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | +11 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg S | 34 | 37 | 4 | 6 | 13-19 | 6-11 | 5-6 | +6 |
| De'Anthony Melton S | 28 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 3-4 | +20 |
| Brandon Williams | 25 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | +15 |
| Al Horford | 22 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-1 | +4 |
| Will Richard | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | -4 |
| Georges Niang S | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Charles Bassey S | 20 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +5 |
| Gary Payton II | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | +3 |
| Gui Santos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | +8 |
| Graham Ike | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +3 |
| LJ Cryer | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -11 |
| Malevy Leons | Did not play | |||||||
| Team | 124 | |||||||
Why Leo has GS by 1
- Injuries: GS is missing more, 3.9 pts toward LAC.
- Team strength: GS rates 3.0 pts better than LAC on results so far.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to GS.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to GS’s expected margin. Positive helps GS, negative helps LAC.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | +3.0 | GS rated +1.8, LAC -1.4 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | 0.0 | GS 2 days, LAC 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -3.9 | Value of regulars on the injury report: GS 17.9, LAC 0 |
| Leo’s margin | +0.8 | GS by 0.8 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out Foot Surgery
- Brandon Ingram Out Achilles Surgery
- Max Strus Out Foot Plantar Fasciitis
- Bradley Beal Out Knee Inflammation
- Jordan Miller Out Shoulder Surgery
- Draymond Green Out Rest · counted, 23.8 min a game
- Stephen Curry Out Rest · counted, 28.2 min a game
- Kristaps Porzingis Out Illness
- Moses Moody Out Knee Surgery
- Jimmy Butler III Out Knee Surgery
Form
1-4 this season · 105.4 scored, 111.8 allowed a game
- L 101-127 at MIN 10-30
- L 87-103 vs LAL 10-28
- L 101-108 at OKC 10-25
- L 117-125 at LAL 10-23
- W 121-96 vs SAC 10-21
3-3 this season · 116.7 scored, 115.3 allowed a game
- W 112-95 vs LAL 10-30
- W 119-114 at MIN 10-28
- W 134-114 at DEN 10-26
- L 122-131 at PHX 10-24
- L 108-111 vs MEM 10-23
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland | 5 | 32.4 | 22 | 22 | 1.6 | 6.2 |
| Kris Dunn | 5 | 30.4 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| Rui Hachimura | 4 | 30 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 5.8 | 0.8 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 5 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| Keaton Wagler | 5 | 26.4 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| Brook Lopez | 5 | 22.6 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 5 | 1.2 |
| Kobe Sanders | 5 | 21.8 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2.4 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 5 | 21.6 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 5.8 | 2.4 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 4 | 32.8 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 4.8 | 5 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 6 | 32 | 19.8 | 21.4 | 7.8 | 3.3 |
| Draymond Green Out | 5 | 28.6 | 3 | 3 | 5.2 | 7.2 |
| Stephen Curry Out | 5 | 28.2 | 29.2 | 29.2 | 3.8 | 4 |
| Gui Santos | 5 | 22.4 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 6 | 21.3 | 10.3 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| Georges Niang | 6 | 19.3 | 7 | 7 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| Al Horford | 5 | 18 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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