NBA · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · Intuit Dome
New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. NO at LAC.
New Orleans Pelicans48%Leo win chance
LA Clippers52%Leo win chanceDifferent winners: Leo has LAC by 0.5; DraftKings has NO by 1.5. They are 2 pts apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: NO 115, LAC 115 (total 230). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Why Leo has LAC by 0.5
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to LAC.
- Injuries: LAC is missing more, 0.9 pts toward NO.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to LAC’s expected margin. Positive helps LAC, negative helps NO.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -0.3 | LAC rated -1.7, NO -1.4 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | +0.3 | LAC 4 days, NO 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -0.9 | Value of regulars on the injury report: LAC 4, NO 0 |
| Leo’s margin | +0.8 | LAC by 0.8 expected |
Injury report
The injury report when Leo made its read. A player marked in Leo’s number is a regular whose value Leo has taken off his team: all of it when he is out, 40% of it when he is day to day, because Leo assumes about 4 in 10 day-to-day players end up sitting. Players without the mark play too little to move the number.
- Yves Missi Out Knee Bruise
- Brandon Ingram Out Achilles Surgery
- Isaiah Jackson Out Groin Soreness · in Leo’s number, plays 21.1 min a game
- Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out Foot Surgery
- Bradley Beal Out Knee Inflammation
- Jordan Miller Out Shoulder Surgery
Form
4-5 this season · 120.2 scored, 118.8 allowed a game
- L 109-115 vs MIN 11-06
- W 120-113 vs UTAH 11-04
- W 135-134 at MEM 11-02
- W 121-99 vs ATL 10-31
- W 132-120 vs SAC 10-29
1-7 this season · 109.1 scored, 115.6 allowed a game
- L 116-117 vs MIA 11-04
- L 118-125 vs TOR 11-02
- L 112-124 at GS 11-01
- L 101-127 at MIN 10-30
- L 87-103 vs LAL 10-28
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray | 6 | 34.8 | 16.3 | 15 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Zion Williamson | 9 | 33.3 | 20.6 | 19.6 | 5.4 | 2.8 |
| Trey Murphy III | 8 | 33.1 | 14.3 | 13.6 | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 9 | 28.9 | 14.8 | 19.4 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Saddiq Bey | 9 | 27 | 16.4 | 18.4 | 4 | 2.1 |
| Herbert Jones | 9 | 22.9 | 5.8 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Derik Queen | 9 | 22.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 7.4 | 2.8 |
| Yves Missi Out | 2 | 19.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland | 8 | 33.8 | 20.9 | 19 | 1.6 | 6.6 |
| Rui Hachimura | 6 | 31.2 | 14.7 | 15.6 | 6.5 | 1.7 |
| Kris Dunn | 8 | 30.5 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 7 | 30 | 11.6 | 11.4 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| Kobe Sanders | 8 | 24.4 | 10.1 | 12.4 | 3 | 2 |
| Keaton Wagler | 8 | 23.9 | 12 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Brook Lopez | 8 | 23.6 | 13.5 | 10.8 | 5.1 | 1 |
| Max Strus | 2 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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