NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · Intuit Dome
Toronto Raptors vs LA Clippers: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. TOR at LAC.
Toronto Raptors61%Leo win chance
LA Clippers39%Leo win chanceBoth have TOR winning: Leo by 4, DraftKings by 5.5. They are 1.5 pts apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: TOR 111, LAC 107 (total 218). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Why Leo has TOR by 4
- Team strength: TOR rates 5.2 pts better than LAC on results so far.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to LAC.
- Injuries: LAC is missing more, 0.5 pts toward TOR.
What could still move it. Derrick Jones Jr. (LAC, day to day) is counted at 40%. If he sits, Leo's number moves 0.8 toward TOR; if he plays, 0.5 toward LAC.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to LAC’s expected margin. Positive helps LAC, negative helps TOR.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -5.2 | LAC rated -1.8, TOR +3.7 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | LAC played last night, TOR played last night |
| Rest | 0.0 | LAC 1 day, TOR 1 day (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -0.5 | Value of regulars on the injury report: LAC 2.3, TOR 0.1 |
| Leo’s margin | -3.9 | TOR by 3.9 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Jakob Poeltl Day to day Shoulder Inflammation · counted, 20.2 min a game
- Kawhi Leonard Out Knee Inflammation
- Nate Bittle Out Foot Fracture
- Derrick Jones Jr. Day to day Knee · counted, 29 min a game
- Max Strus Out Foot Plantar Fasciitis
- Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out Foot Surgery
- Brandon Ingram Out Achilles Surgery
- Bradley Beal Out Knee Inflammation
- Jordan Miller Out Shoulder Surgery
Form
3-3 this season · 118.2 scored, 110.3 allowed a game
- L 125-131 at LAL 11-01
- L 114-121 vs ORL 10-30
- W 129-99 vs ORL 10-28
- L 94-117 at MIN 10-25
- W 112-102 at WSH 10-23
1-5 this season · 106.5 scored, 113.8 allowed a game
- L 112-124 at GS 11-01
- L 101-127 at MIN 10-30
- L 87-103 vs LAL 10-28
- L 101-108 at OKC 10-25
- L 117-125 at LAL 10-23
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes | 5 | 32.2 | 24 | 25.2 | 6.8 | 4.4 |
| RJ Barrett | 5 | 31.6 | 19.4 | 19.8 | 5.4 | 4 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 5 | 30.2 | 17.4 | 15.2 | 3.4 | 6 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 5 | 27.6 | 12.4 | 12.6 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| Kawhi Leonard Out | 2 | 26 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 |
| Jamal Shead | 5 | 21.4 | 5.2 | 6.6 | 2 | 5 |
| Jakob Poeltl Day to day | 5 | 20.2 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 1 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 5 | 19 | 8.4 | 8 | 5 | 1.4 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland | 5 | 32.4 | 22 | 19 | 1.6 | 6.2 |
| Kris Dunn | 5 | 30.4 | 7.8 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| Rui Hachimura | 4 | 30 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 5.8 | 0.8 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. Day to day | 5 | 29 | 12 | 12.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| Keaton Wagler | 5 | 26.4 | 14.4 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| Brook Lopez | 5 | 22.6 | 13.8 | 11.8 | 5 | 1.2 |
| Kobe Sanders | 5 | 21.8 | 7 | 9.8 | 3 | 2.4 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 5 | 21.6 | 8.6 | 7 | 5.8 | 2.4 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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