MLB teams · NL West · 2026 season
Arizona Diamondbacks 2026: every game Leo analyzed
Leo analyzed 66 Arizona Diamondbacks games with a final result between July 11 and September 27, 2026. The Diamondbacks went 38-28 in them. Leo gave the Diamondbacks better than an even chance in 35 of those games, and they won 20. When Leo had them below 50%, they won 18 of 31. Leo's average win chance for the Diamondbacks was 51%. The side Leo favored won 33 of the 66 games where Leo favored a side.
38-28
Diamondbacks record in games Leo analyzed
33-33
Leo’s reads on Diamondbacks games (right‑wrong)
20-15
Diamondbacks record when Leo favored them
51%
Leo’s average win chance for the Diamondbacks
Most used starters
Starts Leo analyzed (postseason included), the Diamondbacks record in them, and Leo’s average win chance for the Diamondbacks on those days.
| Starter | Starts | Team record | Leo’s avg chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt | 14 | 11-3 | 49.6% |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 13 | 9-4 | 57% |
| Merrill Kelly | 12 | 5-7 | 43% |
| Mitch Bratt | 9 | 4-5 | 44% |
| Michael Soroka | 6 | 2-4 | 69% |
Every game
- Leo’s chance is Leo’s win chance for the Diamondbacks, from its last read saved before first pitch.
- Leo favored is the team Leo gave the better chance to win.
- Diamondbacks result is whether the Diamondbacks won or lost.
- Leo’s read is Right when the team Leo favored won, and Wrong when it lost.
Newest first. Opponents link to the full game analysis where one exists.
| Date | Opponent | Leo’s chance (Diamondbacks) | Leo favored | Diamondbacks result | Leo’s read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | at Padres | 66% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 26 | at Padres | 34% | Padres | Lost | Right |
| Sep 25 | at Padres | 47% | Padres | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 24 | at Rockies | 74% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Sep 23 | at Rockies | 67% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Sep 22 | at Rockies | 74% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Sep 20 | vs Yankees | 71% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Sep 19 | vs Yankees | 29% | Yankees | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 18 | vs Yankees | 51% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 16 | vs Marlins | 38% | Marlins | Lost | Right |
| Sep 15 | vs Marlins | 69% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 14 | vs Marlins | 73% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Sep 13 | vs Rangers | 48% | Rangers | Lost | Right |
| Sep 12 | vs Rangers | 70% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 11 | vs Rangers | 34% | Rangers | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 9 | at Royals | 28% | Royals | Lost | Right |
| Sep 8 | at Royals | 28% | Royals | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 6 | at Astros | 61% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Sep 5 | at Astros | 73% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Sep 4 | at Astros | 51% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 2 | vs Phillies | 73% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Sep 1 | vs Phillies | 49% | Phillies | Lost | Right |
| Aug 31 | vs Phillies | 70% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 29 | at Giants | 49% | Giants | Lost | Right |
| Aug 29 | at Giants | 28% | Giants | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 28 | at Giants | 28% | Giants | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 27 | at Giants | 30% | Giants | Lost | Right |
| Aug 26 | vs Cubs | 67% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Aug 25 | vs Cubs | 43% | Cubs | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 24 | vs Cubs | 31% | Cubs | Lost | Right |
| Aug 23 | vs Reds | 33% | Reds | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 22 | vs Reds | 74% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 21 | vs Reds | 74% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Aug 19 | at Red Sox | 36% | Red Sox | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 18 | at Red Sox | 26% | Red Sox | Lost | Right |
| Aug 17 | at Red Sox | 28% | Red Sox | Lost | Right |
| Aug 16 | at Braves | 70% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 15 | at Braves | 46% | Braves | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 14 | at Braves | 42% | Braves | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 12 | vs Rockies | 57% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 11 | vs Rockies | 60% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 10 | vs Rockies | 60% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Aug 9 | vs Dodgers | 52% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Aug 8 | vs Dodgers | 53% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 7 | vs Dodgers | 52% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Aug 6 | vs Padres | 51% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 5 | vs Padres | 45% | Padres | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 4 | vs Padres | 52% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 3 | vs Padres | 49% | Padres | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 2 | at Guardians | 62% | Diamondbacks | No result | |
| Aug 1 | at Guardians | 65% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Jul 31 | at Guardians | 18% | Guardians | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 29 | at Pirates | 52% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Jul 28 | at Pirates | 54% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Jul 27 | at Pirates | 43% | Pirates | Lost | Right |
| Jul 26 | at Nationals | 56% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Jul 25 | at Nationals | 49% | Nationals | Lost | Right |
| Jul 24 | at Nationals | 47% | Nationals | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 23 | at Cardinals | 52% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Jul 22 | vs Athletics | 48% | Athletics | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 21 | vs Athletics | 75% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Jul 20 | vs Athletics | 80% | Diamondbacks | Lost | Wrong |
| Jul 19 | vs Cardinals | 63% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Jul 18 | vs Cardinals | 57% | Diamondbacks | Won | Right |
| Jul 17 | vs Cardinals | 46% | Cardinals | Lost | Right |
| Jul 12 | at Dodgers | 37% | Dodgers | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 11 | at Dodgers | 22% | Dodgers | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 10 | at Dodgers | 33% | Dodgers | No result | |
| Jul 9 | at Padres | 51% | Diamondbacks | No result | |
| Jul 7 | at Padres | 56% | Diamondbacks | No result |
More from the NL West
Colorado Rockies · Los Angeles Dodgers · San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants
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