MLB teams · AL East · 2026 season
Toronto Blue Jays 2026: every game Leo analyzed
Leo analyzed 65 Toronto Blue Jays games with a final result between July 10 and September 27, 2026. The Blue Jays went 35-30 in them. Leo gave the Blue Jays better than an even chance in 26 of those games, and they won 13. When Leo had them below 50%, they won 22 of 39. Leo's average win chance for the Blue Jays was 47%. The side Leo favored won 30 of the 65 games where Leo favored a side.
Most used starters
Starts Leo analyzed (postseason included), the Blue Jays record in them, and Leo’s average win chance for the Blue Jays on those days.
| Starter | Starts | Team record | Leo’s avg chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 12 | 7-5 | 37% |
| Dylan Cease | 11 | 7-4 | 61% |
| José Soriano | 9 | 6-3 | 49% |
| Shane Bieber | 8 | 6-2 | 36% |
| Trey Yesavage | 6 | 1-5 | 48% |
Every game
- Leo’s chance is Leo’s win chance for the Blue Jays, from its last read saved before first pitch.
- Leo favored is the team Leo gave the better chance to win.
- Blue Jays result is whether the Blue Jays won or lost.
- Leo’s read is Right when the team Leo favored won, and Wrong when it lost.
Newest first. Opponents link to the full game analysis where one exists.
| Date | Opponent | Leo’s chance (Blue Jays) | Leo favored | Blue Jays result | Leo’s read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | vs Reds | 40% | Reds | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 26 | vs Reds | 72% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 25 | vs Reds | 69% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Sep 23 | at Orioles | 73% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 22 | at Orioles | 39% | Orioles | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 21 | at Orioles | 60% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 20 | at Rangers | 70% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Sep 19 | at Rangers | 35% | Rangers | Lost | Right |
| Sep 18 | at Rangers | 73% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 16 | vs Tigers | 27% | Tigers | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 14 | vs Tigers | 32% | Tigers | Lost | Right |
| Sep 13 | vs Orioles | 71% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Sep 12 | vs Orioles | 72% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Sep 11 | vs Orioles | 43% | Orioles | Lost | Right |
| Sep 9 | at Athletics | 52% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 8 | at Athletics | 73% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Sep 7 | at Athletics | 74% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Sep 6 | at Royals | 36% | Royals | Lost | Right |
| Sep 5 | at Royals | 35% | Royals | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 4 | at Royals | 27% | Royals | Won | Wrong |
| Sep 2 | at Guardians | 72% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Sep 1 | at Guardians | 56% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 30 | vs Mariners | 27% | Mariners | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 29 | vs Mariners | 66% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Aug 28 | vs Mariners | 61% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Aug 27 | vs Royals | 32% | Royals | Lost | Right |
| Aug 26 | vs Royals | 67% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Aug 25 | vs Royals | 27% | Royals | Lost | Right |
| Aug 23 | at Yankees | 52% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 22 | at Yankees | 68% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Aug 21 | at Yankees | 43% | Yankees | Lost | Right |
| Aug 20 | at Rays | 26% | Rays | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 19 | at Rays | 26% | Rays | Lost | Right |
| Aug 18 | at Rays | 30% | Rays | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 16 | vs Yankees | 73% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 15 | vs Yankees | 49% | Yankees | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 14 | vs Yankees | 46% | Yankees | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 13 | vs Red Sox | 46% | Red Sox | Lost | Right |
| Aug 12 | vs Red Sox | 42% | Red Sox | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 11 | vs Red Sox | 44% | Red Sox | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 10 | vs Red Sox | 38% | Red Sox | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 9 | at Phillies | 46% | Phillies | Lost | Right |
| Aug 8 | at Phillies | 48% | Phillies | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 7 | at Phillies | 46% | Phillies | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 6 | at Cubs | 43% | Cubs | Lost | Right |
| Aug 5 | at Astros | 30% | Astros | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 4 | at Astros | 39% | Astros | Lost | Right |
| Aug 3 | at Astros | 34% | Astros | Won | Wrong |
| Aug 2 | vs Cardinals | 68% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Aug 1 | vs Cardinals | 55% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Jul 31 | vs Cardinals | 61% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Jul 29 | at Nationals | 31% | Nationals | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 28 | at Nationals | 23% | Nationals | Lost | Right |
| Jul 27 | at Nationals | 18% | Nationals | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 26 | at Red Sox | 29% | Red Sox | Lost | Right |
| Jul 25 | at Red Sox | 31% | Red Sox | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 24 | at Red Sox | 25% | Red Sox | Lost | Right |
| Jul 23 | vs Rays | 23% | Rays | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 22 | vs Rays | 33% | Rays | Lost | Right |
| Jul 21 | vs Rays | 43% | Rays | Lost | Right |
| Jul 20 | vs Rays | 51% | Blue Jays | No result | |
| Jul 19 | vs White Sox | 41% | White Sox | No result | |
| Jul 18 | vs White Sox | 38% | White Sox | Won | Wrong |
| Jul 17 | vs White Sox | 55% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Jul 12 | at Padres | 53% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Jul 11 | at Padres | 63% | Blue Jays | Lost | Wrong |
| Jul 10 | at Padres | 52% | Blue Jays | Won | Right |
| Jul 7 | at Giants | 49% | Giants | No result |
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The 2027 season starts March 25, 2027. Until then, see all 30 teams, every MLB game page and Leo’s NFL and NBA cards.