NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Smoothie King Center
Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. ATL at NO.
Atlanta Hawks71%Leo win chance
New Orleans Pelicans29%Leo win chanceBoth expect ATL to win. Leo expects a bigger win (ATL by 7.5) than DraftKings (ATL by 5.5).
Projected score: ATL 122, NO 114 (total 236). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to NO’s expected margin. Positive helps NO, negative helps ATL.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -7.0 | NO rated -3.9, ATL +3.5 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | 0.0 | NO 2 days, ATL 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -2.5 | Value of regulars on the injury report: NO 11.1, ATL 0 |
| Leo’s margin | -7.7 | ATL by 7.7 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Mouhamed Gueye Out Foot Fracture
- Henri Veesaar Out Knee
- Dejounte Murray Out Personal · counted, 32.3 min a game
- Yves Missi Out Knee Bruise
- Jordan Poole Out Ankle Sprain · counted, 16 min a game
Form
3-3 this season · 119.2 scored, 114.5 allowed a game
- W 114-111 vs CLE 10-29
- L 117-129 vs MIA 10-28
- L 110-120 at HOU 10-26
- L 114-121 vs HOU 10-24
- W 128-81 at CHA 10-23
1-4 this season · 119.4 scored, 121.6 allowed a game
- W 132-120 vs SAC 10-29
- L 91-104 vs DEN 10-28
- L 135-141 at DEN 10-24
- L 119-120 at UTAH 10-23
- L 120-123 vs IND 10-21
Key players this season
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 6 | 33.5 | 19.2 | 9.3 | 8.5 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 6 | 30.2 | 20.5 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Dyson Daniels | 6 | 29.2 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 6 | 28.3 | 12.8 | 6.7 | 2.8 |
| CJ McCollum | 6 | 26.3 | 14.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 6 | 26.3 | 15.5 | 4 | 2 |
| Luguentz Dort | 6 | 22.8 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| Kingston Flemings | 6 | 19.5 | 6.3 | 3 | 4.5 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 5 | 32.4 | 14.2 | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| Dejounte Murray Out | 4 | 32.3 | 17.8 | 5.8 | 6 |
| Zion Williamson | 5 | 32.2 | 21.8 | 4 | 2.2 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 5 | 24.2 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 4 |
| Saddiq Bey | 5 | 24.2 | 13.2 | 3.2 | 2 |
| Derik Queen | 5 | 23.8 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 1.8 |
| Herbert Jones | 5 | 20.4 | 6 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Yves Missi Out | 2 | 19.5 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 |
Leo’s reads before every game day. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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