NBA · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Rocket Arena
New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. NY at CLE.
New York Knicks56%Leo win chance
Cleveland Cavaliers44%Leo win chanceBoth have NY winning: Leo by 2, DraftKings by 5.5. They are 3.5 pts apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: NY 114, CLE 112 (total 226). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Why Leo has NY by 2
- Back to back: CLE played last night, 2.0 pts toward NY.
- Injuries: CLE is missing more, 2.0 pts toward NY.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to CLE.
- Team strength: CLE rates 0.6 pts better than NY on results so far.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to CLE’s expected margin. Positive helps CLE, negative helps NY.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | +0.6 | CLE rated +3.8, NY +3.1 points against an average team |
| Back to back | -2.0 | CLE played last night |
| Rest | -0.3 | CLE 1 day, NY 3 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -2.0 | Value of regulars on the injury report: CLE 11.4, NY 2.2 |
| Leo’s margin | -1.9 | NY by 1.9 expected |
Injury report
The injury report when Leo made its read. A player marked in Leo’s number is a regular whose value Leo has taken off his team: all of it when he is out, 40% of it when he is day to day, because Leo assumes about 4 in 10 day-to-day players end up sitting. Players without the mark play too little to move the number.
- Josh Hart Out Ankle · in Leo’s number, plays 31.7 min a game
- Jaylon Tyson Out Ankle Sprain · in Leo’s number, plays 20.8 min a game
- Sam Merrill Out Elbow · in Leo’s number, plays 23.1 min a game
- Jarrett Allen Out Knee · in Leo’s number, plays 25.1 min a game
Form
4-4 this season · 110 scored, 105.1 allowed a game
- W 135-105 vs CHI 11-04
- W 103-90 vs BKN 11-02
- L 93-98 at PHI 10-30
- W 133-127 at CHI 10-28
- W 111-97 vs DET 10-27
5-4 this season · 119.2 scored, 114.7 allowed a game
- W 119-95 vs PHI 11-06
- L 116-124 at OKC 11-04
- L 112-117 vs OKC 11-02
- W 136-111 at MIL 10-31
- L 111-114 at ATL 10-29
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 8 | 33.9 | 25.6 | 27.4 | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| OG Anunoby | 8 | 33 | 16.6 | 16.2 | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| Josh Hart Out | 7 | 31.7 | 8.6 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 3.9 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 8 | 31.3 | 19.9 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 3.1 |
| Mikal Bridges | 8 | 25.4 | 6.3 | 8 | 2.9 | 2 |
| Landry Shamet | 8 | 24.9 | 9.4 | 11.2 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Miles McBride | 8 | 17.5 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Dalton Knecht | 1 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 1 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | 9 | 33.2 | 16.7 | 17.4 | 5.3 | 5.9 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 9 | 33.1 | 22.6 | 20.8 | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| Evan Mobley | 9 | 32.8 | 19.1 | 18.4 | 8 | 3.6 |
| Peyton Watson | 7 | 28.3 | 11.1 | 11.8 | 4.7 | 2.9 |
| Jarrett Allen Out | 8 | 25.1 | 13.3 | 12.2 | 7.8 | 1.3 |
| Sam Merrill Out | 9 | 23.1 | 7.7 | 8 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Meleek Thomas | 6 | 22.2 | 12.8 | 12.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Jaylon Tyson Out | 5 | 20.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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