NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Fiserv Forum
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. CLE at MIL.
Cleveland Cavaliers67%Leo win chance
Milwaukee Bucks33%Leo win chanceBoth expect CLE to win. Leo expects a closer game (CLE by 6) than DraftKings (CLE by 9.5).
Projected score: CLE 120, MIL 114 (total 234). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to MIL’s expected margin. Positive helps MIL, negative helps CLE.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -8.2 | MIL rated -7, CLE +1.7 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | +0.1 | MIL 3 days, CLE 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | +0.3 | Value of regulars on the injury report: MIL 0, CLE 1.2 |
| Leo’s margin | -6.1 | CLE by 6.1 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Meleek Thomas Day to day Foot
- Jaylon Tyson Out Ankle Sprain · counted, 20.8 min a game
Nobody listed.
Form
3-2 this season · 118 scored, 117 allowed a game
- L 111-114 at ATL 10-29
- W 121-111 vs WSH 10-28
- W 127-125 vs MIN 10-26
- W 125-121 vs BKN 10-24
- L 106-114 at PHI 10-22
1-4 this season · 113.4 scored, 124.2 allowed a game
- L 100-132 vs HOU 10-28
- W 110-102 vs IND 10-26
- L 116-127 at PHI 10-24
- L 125-132 vs CHI 10-23
- L 116-128 at WSH 10-21
Key players this season
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | 5 | 35 | 17.4 | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| Evan Mobley | 5 | 34.4 | 18.2 | 8.8 | 3.6 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 5 | 34.4 | 24.2 | 5.6 | 4.8 |
| Peyton Watson | 5 | 29.6 | 12 | 4.4 | 2.4 |
| Jarrett Allen | 5 | 28.4 | 13.4 | 8.8 | 1 |
| Sam Merrill | 5 | 24.6 | 9 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Jaylon Tyson Out | 5 | 20.8 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Meleek Thomas Day to day | 2 | 19.5 | 13 | 3 | 0.5 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 5 | 30.8 | 23.4 | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 5 | 29 | 17.8 | 7.2 | 2.6 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 5 | 27.8 | 10.8 | 8 | 2.8 |
| Myles Turner | 5 | 26.4 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Ryan Rollins | 5 | 26.4 | 11.6 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 5 | 22.8 | 9 | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| AJ Green | 5 | 19 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Kel'el Ware | 5 | 18.8 | 11.8 | 8.4 | 0.4 |
Leo’s reads before every game day. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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