NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Madison Square Garden
Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. BKN at NY.
Brooklyn Nets19%Leo win chance
New York Knicks81%Leo win chanceBoth have NY winning: Leo by 12.5, DraftKings by 14.5. They are 2 pts apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: BKN 104, NY 116 (total 220). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
No pick: Leo has NY 81%, but the price is -900, -230 or dearer.
Why Leo has NY by 12.5
- Team strength: NY rates 8.0 pts better than BKN on results so far.
- Back to back: BKN played last night, 2.0 pts toward NY.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to NY.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to NY’s expected margin. Positive helps NY, negative helps BKN.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | +8.0 | NY rated +2, BKN -6.5 points against an average team |
| Back to back | +2.0 | BKN played last night |
| Rest | +0.3 | NY 3 days, BKN 1 day (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | +0.1 | Value of regulars on the injury report: NY 0, BKN 0.5 |
| Leo’s margin | +12.1 | NY by 12.1 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Mikel Brown Jr. Day to day Rest · counted, 22.8 min a game
- Egor Demin Out Leg Bruise · counted, 21.8 min a game
- Tyler Bilodeau Out Shoulder Sprain
- Jose Alvarado Out Ankle Sprain
Form
1-5 this season · 108.2 scored, 116 allowed a game
- W 98-90 at IND 11-01
- L 94-110 vs DET 10-30
- L 124-125 at BOS 10-27
- L 109-136 vs IND 10-25
- L 121-125 at CLE 10-24
2-4 this season · 107 scored, 107.7 allowed a game
- L 93-98 at PHI 10-30
- W 133-127 at CHI 10-28
- W 111-97 vs DET 10-27
- L 102-111 vs ORL 10-25
- L 103-107 at BOS 10-23
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 5 | 33.2 | 21 | 18.4 | 7.6 | 5.2 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 5 | 30.8 | 20.8 | 20.2 | 7 | 1 |
| Keon Ellis | 5 | 25 | 6 | 4.6 | 2 | 2.6 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. Day to day | 4 | 22.8 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 5 | 22 | 6.6 | 8 | 6.6 | 1.2 |
| Egor Demin Out | 4 | 21.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Noah Clowney | 5 | 21.6 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 0.8 |
| Chaney Johnson | 5 | 20.2 | 7 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 6 | 34.8 | 25.5 | 26.4 | 2.8 | 5.2 |
| OG Anunoby | 6 | 33.7 | 16.2 | 17.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 |
| Josh Hart | 6 | 32.5 | 8.7 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 3.3 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 6 | 31.7 | 21.8 | 22.4 | 13.5 | 3.2 |
| Mikal Bridges | 6 | 27.5 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Landry Shamet | 6 | 24 | 7.7 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Miles McBride | 6 | 18.7 | 7 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Tyler Kolek | 4 | 14.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 6.3 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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