NBA · Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Barclays Center
Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. CHA at BKN.
Charlotte Hornets51%Leo win chance
Brooklyn Nets49%Leo win chanceBoth have CHA winning: Leo by 0.5, DraftKings by 3.5. They are 3 pts apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: CHA 106, BKN 105 (total 211). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Why Leo has CHA by 0.5
- Team strength: CHA rates 2.0 pts better than BKN on results so far.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to BKN.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to BKN’s expected margin. Positive helps BKN, negative helps CHA.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -2.0 | BKN rated -6.8, CHA -4.6 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | 0.0 | BKN 2 days, CHA 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | 0.0 | Value of regulars on the injury report: BKN 0, CHA 0 |
| Leo’s margin | -0.3 | CHA by 0.3 expected |
Injury report
The injury report when Leo made its read. A player marked in Leo’s number is a regular whose value Leo has taken off his team: all of it when he is out, 40% of it when he is day to day, because Leo assumes about 4 in 10 day-to-day players end up sitting. Players without the mark play too little to move the number.
- Kon Knueppel Out Hamstring
- Coby White Day to day Calf
- Grant Williams Out Hamstring
- Egor Demin Out Leg Bruise · in Leo’s number, plays 21.8 min a game
- Tyler Bilodeau Out Shoulder Sprain
Form
3-5 this season · 97.4 scored, 108.6 allowed a game
- L 91-124 vs DET 11-02
- L 104-109 vs PHI 10-31
- L 79-95 at WSH 10-30
- L 89-97 at DET 10-28
- W 110-103 vs WSH 10-26
1-6 this season · 105.6 scored, 114.1 allowed a game
- L 90-103 at NY 11-02
- W 98-90 at IND 11-01
- L 94-110 vs DET 10-30
- L 124-125 at BOS 10-27
- L 109-136 vs IND 10-25
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 8 | 33.8 | 23.5 | 26 | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| Dennis Schroder | 8 | 31.3 | 10.9 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 5 |
| Naz Reid | 8 | 28.9 | 15.5 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 1.9 |
| Moussa Diabate | 8 | 28.8 | 9.1 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 2 |
| Grayson Allen | 8 | 26.4 | 14.9 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| Sion James | 8 | 24.6 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 3 |
| Royce O'Neale | 8 | 18 | 5 | 5.2 | 3 | 0.4 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 8 | 16.5 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 1.5 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 7 | 34.1 | 20.9 | 18 | 7.7 | 4.9 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 7 | 32.4 | 20.7 | 18.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Keon Ellis | 7 | 24.3 | 5 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 5 | 23.6 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 2.4 | 4 |
| Chaney Johnson | 7 | 22.9 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 3 | 1 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 7 | 22.6 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 1.9 |
| Egor Demin Out | 4 | 21.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Noah Clowney | 7 | 21.7 | 5.4 | 5 | 4.9 | 0.9 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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