NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Spectrum Center
Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. DET at CHA.
Detroit Pistons69%Leo win chance
Charlotte Hornets32%Leo win chanceBoth have DET winning: Leo by 6.5, DraftKings by 4.5. They are 2 pts apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.
Projected score: DET 108, CHA 101 (total 209). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Why Leo has DET by 6.5
- Team strength: DET rates 8.7 pts better than CHA on results so far.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to CHA.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to CHA’s expected margin. Positive helps CHA, negative helps DET.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -8.7 | CHA rated -3.2, DET +6 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | -0.1 | CHA 2 days, DET 3 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | +0.4 | Value of regulars on the injury report: CHA 0, DET 1.8 |
| Leo’s margin | -6.7 | DET by 6.7 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Isaiah Joe Out Hip Bruise · counted, 13.7 min a game
- Jalen Duren Out Hamstring Strain
- Grant Williams Out Hamstring
- Kon Knueppel Out Hamstring
Form
5-1 this season · 109.8 scored, 101.8 allowed a game
- W 110-94 at BKN 10-30
- W 97-89 vs CHA 10-28
- L 97-111 at NY 10-27
- W 106-93 at PHI 10-25
- W 128-111 at MIA 10-23
3-4 this season · 98.3 scored, 106.4 allowed a game
- L 104-109 vs PHI 10-31
- L 79-95 at WSH 10-30
- L 89-97 at DET 10-28
- W 110-103 vs WSH 10-26
- W 115-110 vs MIA 10-24
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 6 | 33.5 | 22.2 | 22.2 | 5.5 | 7.2 |
| Duncan Robinson | 6 | 29.8 | 16.8 | 16 | 2 | 2.2 |
| Paul Reed | 6 | 26.8 | 13.8 | 15.4 | 7 | 1.8 |
| John Collins | 6 | 26.5 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 7.2 | 0.5 |
| Ausar Thompson | 5 | 26.4 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 7.4 | 5.2 |
| Daniss Jenkins | 6 | 24.5 | 11.2 | 12.8 | 3.8 | 4 |
| Kevin Huerter | 6 | 20.5 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 2 |
| Jalen Duren Out | 2 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 7.5 | 2 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 7 | 34.1 | 24.4 | 29.4 | 6.1 | 2.3 |
| Dennis Schroder | 7 | 32.4 | 11.7 | 11.8 | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| Moussa Diabate | 7 | 29.4 | 9.4 | 8.8 | 9.6 | 2 |
| Naz Reid | 7 | 29.1 | 15.9 | 14.8 | 8.6 | 1.9 |
| Grayson Allen | 7 | 27.4 | 15.4 | 15.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Sion James | 7 | 25.1 | 3.7 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Royce O'Neale | 7 | 18 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 7 | 16.6 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 1.7 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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