NBA · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET · Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. BKN at IND.
Brooklyn Nets52%Leo win chance
Indiana Pacers48%Leo win chanceProjected score: BKN 116, IND 115 (total 230). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Final
BKN 98, IND 90
- Leo had BKN to win: right
- Leo expected IND -0.6; it finished -8. Leo missed by 7.5, the DraftKings spread by 11.5.
- Lean BKN +3.5: win
Box score
ESPN box score, saved the night of the game. Players Leo counted as out or day to day are tagged with whether they played.
| Brooklyn Nets | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle S | 37 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 6-6 | +17 |
| Michael Porter Jr. S | 36 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 6-9 | +4 |
| Chaney Johnson S | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | +10 |
| Nolan Traore S | 30 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | +8 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe S | 26 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | +13 |
| Noah Clowney | 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | -7 |
| Moritz Wagner | 21 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | -4 |
| Keon Ellis | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | +1 |
| Terance Mann | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -2 |
| Josh Minott | Did not play | |||||||
| Danny Wolf | Did not play | |||||||
| Drake Powell | Did not play | |||||||
| Team | 98 | |||||||
| Indiana Pacers | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam S | 36 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | +4 |
| Andrew Nembhard S | 35 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 7-19 | 4-10 | 5-6 | -1 |
| Aaron Nesmith S | 30 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | -15 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 26 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | -5 |
| Quenton Jackson | 24 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | -1 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. S | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | -2 |
| Jarace Walker | 20 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | -2 |
| Jalen Slawson | 18 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | -10 |
| Jay Huff S | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | -5 |
| Kobe Brown | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Braden Smith | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Obi Toppin Leo counted out: sat | Did not play: low back soreness | |||||||
| Ivica Zubac Leo counted out: sat | Did not play: left ankle injury | |||||||
| Team | 90 | |||||||
Why Leo has BKN by 0.5
- Injuries: IND is missing more, 5.0 pts toward BKN.
- Team strength: IND rates 2.7 pts better than BKN on results so far.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to IND.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to IND’s expected margin. Positive helps IND, negative helps BKN.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | +2.7 | IND rated -4.6, BKN -7.4 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | 0.0 | IND 2 days, BKN 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -5.0 | Value of regulars on the injury report: IND 23.6, BKN 1.2 |
| Leo’s margin | -0.6 | BKN by 0.6 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Mikel Brown Jr. Out Rest · counted, 22.8 min a game
- Egor Demin Out Leg Bruise · counted, 21.8 min a game
- Tyler Bilodeau Out Shoulder Sprain
- Obi Toppin Out Back Soreness · counted, 19.2 min a game
- T.J. McConnell Out Hamstring Strain
- Ivica Zubac Out Ankle Sprain · counted, 10.8 min a game
- Johnny Furphy Out Knee Surgery
- Ben Sheppard Out Knee
- Tyrese Haliburton Out Hamstring Strain · counted, 33 min a game
Form
0-5 this season · 110.2 scored, 121.2 allowed a game
- L 94-110 vs DET 10-30
- L 124-125 at BOS 10-27
- L 109-136 vs IND 10-25
- L 121-125 at CLE 10-24
- L 103-110 vs CHA 10-21
2-4 this season · 116.7 scored, 119.8 allowed a game
- L 125-145 at MIA 10-30
- L 109-114 vs PHI 10-28
- L 102-110 at MIL 10-26
- W 136-109 at BKN 10-25
- L 105-121 vs DAL 10-23
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 5 | 33.2 | 21 | 21 | 7.6 | 5.2 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 5 | 30.8 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 7 | 1 |
| Keon Ellis | 5 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2.6 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. Out | 4 | 22.8 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 5 | 22 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 1.2 |
| Egor Demin Out | 4 | 21.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Noah Clowney | 5 | 21.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 0.8 |
| Chaney Johnson | 5 | 20.2 | 7 | 7 | 3.2 | 1 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton Out | 4 | 33 | 21.8 | 21.8 | 4.5 | 9.5 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 5 | 32.2 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 2 | 8 |
| Pascal Siakam | 6 | 31.7 | 22.2 | 20.6 | 7.8 | 3.8 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 6 | 23.8 | 9.2 | 10.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Obi Toppin Out | 5 | 23 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 |
| Jarace Walker | 6 | 22.3 | 7 | 7.8 | 6 | 1.8 |
| Ivica Zubac Out | 3 | 21.7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 1.3 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 5 | 21.6 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 2 | 1.4 |
Leo’s reads before every game day. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
Keep reading
All NBA predictions for November 1 · Tonight’s NBA predictions · Every NBA game · Leo’s NBA record · NBA injury tracker · NBA team stats · Free card by email