NBA · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · crypto.com Arena
Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. TOR at LAL.
Toronto Raptors52%Leo win chance
Los Angeles Lakers48%Leo win chanceProjected score: TOR 113, LAL 113 (total 226). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Final
TOR 125, LAL 131
- Leo had TOR to win: wrong
- Leo expected LAL -0.8; it finished +6. Leo missed by 6.8, the DraftKings spread by 2.5.
- Lean TOR +3.5: loss
Box score
ESPN box score, saved the night of the game. Players Leo counted as out or day to day are tagged with whether they played.
| Toronto Raptors | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes S | 36 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 11-20 | 0-3 | 7-13 | -9 |
| Immanuel Quickley S | 33 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 3-13 | 3-11 | 3-3 | +8 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter S | 33 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | -10 |
| RJ Barrett S | 32 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | +9 |
| Jamal Shead | 25 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | -27 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -14 |
| Jamison Battle | 17 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 2-2 | -4 |
| Alijah Martin | 16 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | +10 |
| Allen Graves | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | -4 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis S | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | -7 |
| Kyle Anderson | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +9 |
| Jaden Bradley | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | +9 |
| Jakob Poeltl | Did not play | |||||||
| Team | 125 | |||||||
| Los Angeles Lakers | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves S | 39 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 5-6 | +14 |
| Luka Doncic S | 35 | 45 | 15 | 6 | 12-23 | 8-12 | 13-13 | +27 |
| Walker Kessler S | 31 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | +11 |
| Quentin Grimes | 26 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | +5 |
| Jake LaRavia S | 25 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | +6 |
| Matisse Thybulle S | 25 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | +10 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 24 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | +7 |
| Collin Sexton | 19 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | -9 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -12 |
| Bronny James | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -11 |
| Jaden Hardy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | -9 |
| Cameron Carr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -9 |
| Kevon Looney | Did not play | |||||||
| AK Okereke | Did not play | |||||||
| Team | 131 | |||||||
Why Leo has TOR by 0.5
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to LAL.
- Team strength: TOR rates 1.4 pts better than LAL on results so far.
- Injuries: LAL is missing more, 1.1 pts toward TOR.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to LAL’s expected margin. Positive helps LAL, negative helps TOR.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -1.4 | LAL rated +2.6, TOR +4.1 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | 0.0 | LAL 2 days, TOR 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -1.1 | Value of regulars on the injury report: LAL 4.9, TOR 0 |
| Leo’s margin | -0.8 | TOR by 0.8 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Kawhi Leonard Out Knee Inflammation
- Nate Bittle Out Foot Fracture
- Ziaire Williams Out Foot · counted, 28.5 min a game
- Adou Thiero Out Knee Inflammation
Form
3-2 this season · 116.8 scored, 106.2 allowed a game
- L 114-121 vs ORL 10-30
- W 129-99 vs ORL 10-28
- L 94-117 at MIN 10-25
- W 112-102 at WSH 10-23
- W 135-92 vs CHI 10-21
4-2 this season · 118.5 scored, 113.3 allowed a game
- L 95-112 at GS 10-30
- W 103-87 at LAC 10-28
- L 129-136 vs POR 10-27
- W 132-123 at UTAH 10-25
- W 125-117 vs LAC 10-23
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes | 5 | 32.2 | 24 | 24 | 6.8 | 4.4 |
| RJ Barrett | 5 | 31.6 | 19.4 | 19.4 | 5.4 | 4 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 5 | 30.2 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 3.4 | 6 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 5 | 27.6 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| Kawhi Leonard Out | 2 | 26 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 |
| Jamal Shead | 5 | 21.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 2 | 5 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 5 | 20.2 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 1 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 5 | 19 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 5 | 1.4 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 5 | 35.8 | 36.2 | 36.2 | 6.8 | 7.6 |
| Austin Reaves | 6 | 35.5 | 23.8 | 24 | 3.5 | 5.3 |
| Walker Kessler | 6 | 30.5 | 14 | 11.6 | 9 | 1.2 |
| Ziaire Williams Out | 4 | 28.5 | 11.3 | 11.3 | 3 | 2.3 |
| Quentin Grimes | 6 | 26.8 | 9 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| Matisse Thybulle | 6 | 25.2 | 9.5 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6 | 23.5 | 9.2 | 10 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Jake LaRavia | 5 | 23 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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