NBA · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET · Kia Center
Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. BOS at ORL.
Boston Celtics60%Leo win chance
Orlando Magic40%Leo win chanceProjected score: BOS 115, ORL 112 (total 227). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
Final
BOS 108, ORL 97
- Leo had BOS to win: right
- Leo expected ORL -3.4; it finished -11. Leo missed by 7.6, the DraftKings spread by 3.5.
- Lean ORL +7.5: loss
Box score
ESPN box score, saved the night of the game. Players Leo counted as out or day to day are tagged with whether they played.
| Boston Celtics | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum S | 34 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 15-17 | +7 |
| Derrick White S | 34 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | +18 |
| Paul George S | 33 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 2-2 | +10 |
| Neemias Queta S | 27 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -2 |
| Payton Pritchard | 27 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 1-1 | +3 |
| Luka Garza | 21 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | +11 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | +10 |
| Sam Hauser | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | +2 |
| Hugo Gonzalez S | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 |
| Jordan Walsh | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | -4 |
| Amari Williams | Did not play | |||||||
| Chris Cenac Jr. | Did not play | |||||||
| Mike Conley | Did not play | |||||||
| Ron Harper Jr. | Did not play | |||||||
| Team | 108 | |||||||
| Orlando Magic | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner S | 40 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 5-20 | 1-4 | 3-4 | -7 |
| Desmond Bane S | 40 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | -10 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. S | 35 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-4 | -7 |
| Tristan da Silva | 35 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | -1 |
| Anthony Black S | 33 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 10-11 | -11 |
| Jase Richardson S | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | -8 |
| Jamal Cain | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | -7 |
| Nikola Vucevic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -5 |
| Goga Bitadze | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +1 |
| Colin Castleton | Did not play | |||||||
| Jevon Carter | Did not play | |||||||
| Alex Morales | Did not play | |||||||
| Team | 97 | |||||||
Why Leo has BOS by 3.5
- Team strength: BOS rates 5.6 pts better than ORL on results so far.
- Home court: worth 1.7 pts to ORL.
- Injuries: BOS is missing more, 0.5 pts toward ORL.
Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to ORL’s expected margin. Positive helps ORL, negative helps BOS.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -5.6 | ORL rated -1.4, BOS +4.5 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | 0.0 | ORL 2 days, BOS 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | +0.5 | Value of regulars on the injury report: ORL 0.3, BOS 2.3 |
| Leo’s margin | -3.4 | BOS by 3.4 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Mitchell Robinson Out Rest Not Specified · counted, 20 min a game
- Devin Carter Out Illness
- Jonathan Isaac Out Knee Not Specified
- Jalen Suggs Out Knee · counted, 33.3 min a game
- Paolo Banchero Out Ankle Sprain
- Noah Penda Out Hamstring Strain
- Izaiyah Nelson Out Ankle Surgery
Form
4-1 this season · 120.8 scored, 111.6 allowed a game
- W 125-111 vs CHI 10-30
- W 125-124 vs BKN 10-27
- W 134-99 vs CHI 10-26
- W 107-103 vs NY 10-23
- L 113-121 at DET 10-20
2-3 this season · 109.8 scored, 118.4 allowed a game
- W 121-114 at TOR 10-30
- L 99-129 at TOR 10-28
- W 111-102 at NY 10-25
- L 93-115 vs MIN 10-23
- L 125-132 vs ATL 10-21
Key players this season
Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 5 | 36 | 27.6 | 27.6 | 6.4 | 7.8 |
| Paul George | 5 | 30.6 | 21.4 | 21.4 | 6 | 4.4 |
| Derrick White | 5 | 29.2 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 3.6 | 5.8 |
| Payton Pritchard | 5 | 27.8 | 16.6 | 16.6 | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| Sam Hauser | 5 | 20.8 | 9 | 9 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| Mitchell Robinson Out | 5 | 20 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 4.6 | 0.6 |
| Neemias Queta | 5 | 19.6 | 9 | 9 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 5 | 18.2 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | Last 5 | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner | 5 | 34.4 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 6.8 | 7 |
| Desmond Bane | 5 | 33.6 | 17.2 | 17.2 | 4 | 2.8 |
| Paolo Banchero Out | 2 | 33.5 | 24.5 | 24.5 | 6.5 | 7.5 |
| Jalen Suggs Out | 3 | 33.3 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 5.7 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 5 | 31.6 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 8.6 | 1.4 |
| Tristan da Silva | 5 | 27.6 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Anthony Black | 3 | 26.3 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 5.3 |
| Jase Richardson | 5 | 18.4 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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