NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Kia Center

Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic: Prediction and Odds

Leo’s read, frozen before tip. WSH at ORL.

Washington Wizards40%Leo win chance
at
Orlando Magic60%Leo win chance
Leo spread
ORL -3
Expected margin
DraftKings
ORL -2.5
Moneyline WSH +114, ORL -135
Call
No call
ORL 59.7%, under 60%

Both have ORL winning: Leo by 3, DraftKings by 2.5. They are 0.5 pts apart, under the 4 pt bar, so no lean.

Projected score: WSH 113, ORL 116 (total 229). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.

No pick: Leo has ORL 59.7%, just under the 60% bar.

Why Leo has ORL by 3

  1. Team strength: ORL rates 2.5 pts better than WSH on results so far.
  2. Back to back: ORL played last night, 2.0 pts toward WSH.
  3. Home court: worth 1.7 pts to ORL.
  4. Injuries: WSH is missing more, 1.4 pts toward ORL.

What could still move it. Alex Sarr (WSH, day to day) is counted at 40%. If he sits, Leo's number moves 0.5 toward ORL; if he plays, 0.3 toward WSH.

Leo only knows team results, rest and the injury report. It does not know matchups, lineups announced after the read, or motivation, so a small gap from DraftKings is usually noise, which is why nothing under 4 points is a call.

What moves Leo’s number

Points added to ORL’s expected margin. Positive helps ORL, negative helps WSH.

Home court+1.7Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons
Team ratings+2.5ORL rated -2, WSH -4.6 points against an average team
Back to back-2.0ORL played last night
Rest-0.3ORL 1 day, WSH 3 days (capped at 4)
Missing players+1.4Value of regulars on the injury report: ORL 0.3, WSH 6.8
Leo’s margin+3.4ORL by 3.4 expected

Injury report

As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.

Washington Wizards
  • Tristan Vukcevic Out Hip Pinched Nerve
  • Alex Sarr Day to day Knee Soreness · counted, 25.5 min a game
  • Anthony Gill Day to day Back Spasms
  • Justin Champagnie Out Foot Not Specified · counted, 18.5 min a game
  • Jamir Watkins Out Knee Surgery
Orlando Magic
  • Jonathan Isaac Out Knee Not Specified
  • Jalen Suggs Out Knee · counted, 33.3 min a game
  • Paolo Banchero Out Ankle Sprain
  • Noah Penda Out Hamstring Strain
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out Ankle Surgery

Form

Washington Wizards

3-3 this season · 110.5 scored, 109.7 allowed a game

  • W 95-79 vs CHA 10-30
  • L 111-121 at CLE 10-28
  • L 103-110 at CHA 10-26
  • W 124-120 at CHI 10-24
  • L 102-112 vs TOR 10-23
Orlando Magic

2-4 this season · 107.7 scored, 116.7 allowed a game

  • L 97-108 vs BOS 11-01
  • W 121-114 at TOR 10-30
  • L 99-129 at TOR 10-28
  • W 111-102 at NY 10-25
  • L 93-115 vs MIN 10-23

Key players this season

Points per game this season and over each player’s last 5 games before this one. Every player’s game log is on Player Scoring.

Washington Wizards
PlayerGPMINPTSLast 5REBAST
Trae Young636.520.720.83.810.2
Anthony Davis633.522.3209.22.2
Kyshawn George631.715.214.64.34.3
AJ Dybantsa228.5181851.5
Bilal Coulibaly626.38.37.840.5
Alex Sarr Day to day625.59.3105.52.2
Tre Johnson520.810.410.420.8
Bub Carrington619.86.761.52.2
Orlando Magic
PlayerGPMINPTSLast 5REBAST
Franz Wagner534.420.819.26.87
Desmond Bane533.617.217.442.8
Paolo Banchero Out233.524.524.56.57.5
Jalen Suggs Out333.38855.7
Wendell Carter Jr.531.614.811.88.61.4
Tristan da Silva527.613.21521.4
Anthony Black326.314.316.53.75.3
Jase Richardson518.45.662.21.8
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Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.

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