NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · FedExForum
Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. SAC at MEM.
Sacramento Kings22%Leo win chance
Memphis Grizzlies78%Leo win chanceBoth expect MEM to win. Leo expects a bigger win (MEM by 10.5) than DraftKings (MEM by 8.5).
Projected score: SAC 110, MEM 121 (total 231). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to MEM’s expected margin. Positive helps MEM, negative helps SAC.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | +10.4 | MEM rated +1.8, SAC -9.2 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | 0.0 | MEM 2 days, SAC 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | -1.6 | Value of regulars on the injury report: MEM 7.2, SAC 0 |
| Leo’s margin | +10.5 | MEM by 10.5 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Dylan Cardwell Out Calf Strain
- Maxime Raynaud Out Knee Dislocated
- Keegan Murray Out Ankle
- Ben Simmons Out Achilles Surgery
- Scotty Pippen Jr. Day to day Back Soreness · counted, 16.2 min a game
- Ty Jerome Day to day Back Soreness · counted, 30 min a game
- Quinten Post Day to day Ankle Not Specified · counted, 15 min a game
Form
0-5 this season · 110.2 scored, 126.8 allowed a game
- L 120-132 at NO 10-29
- L 103-130 at SA 10-27
- L 112-123 vs MEM 10-25
- L 120-128 vs POR 10-23
- L 96-121 at LAC 10-21
5-0 this season · 118.2 scored, 106.2 allowed a game
- W 124-103 at POR 10-29
- W 110-105 at UTAH 10-26
- W 123-112 at SAC 10-25
- W 111-108 at GS 10-23
- W 123-103 vs UTAH 10-21
Key players this season
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis | 5 | 37 | 17 | 16.2 | 7.2 |
| Zach LaVine | 5 | 36.6 | 26 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 5 | 36.4 | 24 | 3.4 | 6.6 |
| Precious Achiuwa | 5 | 29.8 | 13.8 | 6.2 | 1 |
| De'Andre Hunter | 5 | 28.8 | 13 | 5.2 | 1.2 |
| Keegan Murray Out | 2 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 0.5 |
| Emanuel Sharp | 5 | 16.6 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 4 | 16.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 5 | 32 | 15.4 | 10.8 | 6.2 |
| Ty Jerome Day to day | 5 | 30 | 25.8 | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| Cedric Coward | 4 | 29.5 | 14.3 | 9 | 2.5 |
| Jaylen Wells | 5 | 28.2 | 13.8 | 4 | 1.2 |
| Jerami Grant | 5 | 24.6 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Zach Edey | 4 | 20.8 | 7.8 | 7.3 | 1.3 |
| Cam Spencer | 5 | 18 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Isaiah Stewart | 4 | 17.3 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
Leo’s reads before every game day. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
Keep reading
Tonight’s NBA card · Leo’s NBA record · This week’s NFL card