NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 3:00 PM ET · Delta Center
Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. POR at UTAH.
Portland Trail Blazers63%Leo win chance
Utah Jazz37%Leo win chanceBoth expect POR to win. Leo expects a closer game (POR by 4.5) than DraftKings (POR by 7.5).
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to UTAH’s expected margin. Positive helps UTAH, negative helps POR.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -7.4 | UTAH rated -5.7, POR +2.1 points against an average team |
| Back to back | 0.0 | Neither team played last night |
| Rest | +0.1 | UTAH 3 days, POR 2 days (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | +1.0 | Value of regulars on the injury report: UTAH 7.3, POR 11.8 |
| Leo’s margin | -4.5 | POR by 4.5 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Robert Williams III Day to day Knee · counted, 18 min a game
- Chris Youngblood Out Ankle Soreness
- Ja Morant Out Hamstring Not Specified · counted, 26 min a game
- Shaedon Sharpe Out Knee Surgery
- Lauri Markkanen Day to day Wrist Not Specified · counted, 28.5 min a game
- Jaren Jackson Jr. Out Knee Not Specified · counted, 26 min a game
- Trey Alexander Out Knee Bruise
- Jusuf Nurkic Out Foot Strain
Form
3-1 this season · 122.8 scored, 114 allowed a game
- L 103-124 vs MEM 10-29
- W 136-129 at LAL 10-27
- W 128-120 at SAC 10-23
- W 124-83 vs PHX 10-21
1-4 this season · 112.4 scored, 120.2 allowed a game
- L 111-117 vs SA 10-28
- L 105-110 vs MEM 10-26
- L 123-132 vs LAL 10-25
- W 120-119 vs NO 10-23
- L 103-123 at MEM 10-21
Key players this season
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 4 | 31.5 | 22.8 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| Damian Lillard | 4 | 29.5 | 18.5 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Ja Morant Out | 4 | 26 | 15.8 | 2.5 | 5.5 |
| Jrue Holiday | 4 | 25.3 | 12 | 3.8 | 4 |
| Toumani Camara | 4 | 25 | 15.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Donovan Clingan | 4 | 24.3 | 9.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Sidy Cissoko | 4 | 22.5 | 7 | 4.8 | 2.5 |
| Scoot Henderson | 4 | 19 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George | 5 | 32.8 | 24.4 | 4 | 6.8 |
| Ace Bailey | 5 | 29.8 | 14.2 | 8 | 2.4 |
| Darryn Peterson | 5 | 28.6 | 12.8 | 4.4 | 2.6 |
| Lauri Markkanen Day to day | 4 | 28.5 | 16 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Jaxson Hayes | 4 | 27 | 8.3 | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. Out | 4 | 26 | 16.3 | 5 | 2 |
| Mo Bamba | 2 | 22.5 | 11 | 5.5 | 1 |
| Isaiah Collier | 5 | 18.4 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 6 |
Leo’s reads before every game day. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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