NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Frost Bank Center
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs: Prediction and Odds
Leo’s read, frozen before tip. MIN at SA.
Minnesota Timberwolves37%Leo win chance
San Antonio Spurs63%Leo win chanceBoth expect SA to win. Leo expects a closer game (SA by 4.5) than DraftKings (SA by 12.5).
Projected score: MIN 111, SA 116 (total 228). Information only; Leo does not lean on totals.
What moves Leo’s number
Points added to SA’s expected margin. Positive helps SA, negative helps MIN.
| Home court | +1.7 | Average home edge, fitted on the last three seasons |
| Team ratings | -2.6 | SA rated +5, MIN +7.8 points against an average team |
| Back to back | +2.0 | MIN played last night |
| Rest | +0.3 | SA 3 days, MIN 1 day (capped at 4) |
| Missing players | +3.1 | Value of regulars on the injury report: SA 2.6, MIN 16.8 |
| Leo’s margin | +4.5 | SA by 4.5 expected |
Injury report
As of Leo’s read. “Counted” means Leo lowered the team’s number for that player: fully when out, 40% when day to day.
- Rudy Gobert Out Back Spasms · counted, 30 min a game
- Anthony Edwards Out Knee Surgery · counted, 33.8 min a game
- Donte DiVincenzo Out Achilles Surgery
- Stephon Castle Day to day Head Mild · counted, 30.8 min a game
- Tobias Harris Out Calf Strain
- Jayden Quaintance Out Knee Surgery
Form
4-2 this season · 121.5 scored, 106.7 allowed a game
- W 127-101 vs LAC 10-30
- L 114-119 vs GS 10-28
- L 125-127 at CLE 10-26
- W 117-94 vs TOR 10-25
- W 115-93 at ORL 10-23
3-2 this season · 116.6 scored, 110 allowed a game
- W 117-111 at UTAH 10-28
- W 130-103 vs SAC 10-27
- W 122-106 at DAL 10-24
- L 110-114 vs HOU 10-23
- L 104-116 vs OKC 10-20
Key players this season
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards Out | 4 | 33.8 | 33.3 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 6 | 32.5 | 17 | 6.5 | 3.7 |
| Rudy Gobert Out | 6 | 30 | 7 | 12.3 | 1.5 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 6 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 6 | 27.8 | 13.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| LaMelo Ball | 6 | 26.2 | 15.2 | 2.5 | 6.7 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 6 | 22.7 | 13.7 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| Joan Beringer | 6 | 16.2 | 6.3 | 7 | 0.5 |
| Player | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 5 | 32.2 | 25 | 11.4 | 2.8 |
| Dylan Harper | 5 | 32.2 | 17.2 | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Devin Vassell | 5 | 31.8 | 12.6 | 4 | 3.8 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 5 | 31.4 | 15.4 | 4.2 | 7 |
| Stephon Castle Day to day | 5 | 30.8 | 17.4 | 5.8 | 5.4 |
| Julian Champagnie | 5 | 28.4 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Keldon Johnson | 5 | 22 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Luke Kornet | 5 | 14.8 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 0.6 |
Leo’s reads before every game day. Free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Leo’s win chance and spread come from team results, rest and the injury report. The DraftKings line is shown for comparison and is never an input. Every read is graded on the results page. Analysis only, not betting advice. 21+.
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